Monday, September 12, 2011
Equity Daily: Banking Overweight
Banking (Overweight): Loan disbursement grew 24.2% y/y in August 2011
Bank Indonesia stated that by August 2011 loan grew 24.2% y/y to Rp2,037t, inline with the Central Bank’s target for the year. Further details of the monthly statistics are yet to be published.
With the benchmark rate kept at 6.75% for the seven consecutive months, Bank Indonesia is optimist that the 22%‐24% y/y FY11 loan growth target will be achieved.
Analyst comment:
We believe that the banking sector will remain upbeat in the next 12 months, supported by banks’ ability to translate the gradual decline in lending rate into increase in loan disbursement.
Our top picks on the sector is Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ, BUY) with TP at Rp9,300/share (16.8x/15.0x 2011F/2012F PER; 3.2x/2.8x 2011F/2012F PBV)) for its solid fundamental, loan write‐backs, and possibility of tax cut starting 2011 onwards. We also like Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI.IJ, BUY)with TP at Rp8,000/share (14.4x/12.3x 2011F/2012F PER; 4.2x/3.3x 2011F/2012F PBV) for its expertise in the high‐yield lending segment and attractive ROE.
source: Equity daily Kim Eng dated 9 September 2011
Bank Indonesia stated that by August 2011 loan grew 24.2% y/y to Rp2,037t, inline with the Central Bank’s target for the year. Further details of the monthly statistics are yet to be published.
With the benchmark rate kept at 6.75% for the seven consecutive months, Bank Indonesia is optimist that the 22%‐24% y/y FY11 loan growth target will be achieved.
Analyst comment:
We believe that the banking sector will remain upbeat in the next 12 months, supported by banks’ ability to translate the gradual decline in lending rate into increase in loan disbursement.
Our top picks on the sector is Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ, BUY) with TP at Rp9,300/share (16.8x/15.0x 2011F/2012F PER; 3.2x/2.8x 2011F/2012F PBV)) for its solid fundamental, loan write‐backs, and possibility of tax cut starting 2011 onwards. We also like Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI.IJ, BUY)with TP at Rp8,000/share (14.4x/12.3x 2011F/2012F PER; 4.2x/3.3x 2011F/2012F PBV) for its expertise in the high‐yield lending segment and attractive ROE.
source: Equity daily Kim Eng dated 9 September 2011
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