Monday, September 12, 2011

Equity Daily: Banking Overweight

Banking (Overweight): Loan disbursement grew 24.2% y/y in August 2011
􀂃 Bank Indonesia stated that by August 2011 loan grew 24.2% y/y to Rp2,037t, inline with the Central Bank’s target for the year. Further details of the monthly statistics are yet to be published.
􀂃 With the benchmark rate kept at 6.75% for the seven consecutive months, Bank Indonesia is optimist that the 22%‐24% y/y FY11 loan growth target will be achieved.

Analyst comment:
􀂃 We believe that the banking sector will remain upbeat in the next 12 months, supported by banks’ ability to translate the gradual decline in lending rate into increase in loan disbursement.
􀂃 Our top picks on the sector is Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ, BUY) with TP at Rp9,300/share (16.8x/15.0x 2011F/2012F PER; 3.2x/2.8x 2011F/2012F PBV)) for its solid fundamental, loan write‐backs, and possibility of tax cut starting 2011 onwards. We also like Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI.IJ, BUY)with TP at Rp8,000/share (14.4x/12.3x 2011F/2012F PER; 4.2x/3.3x 2011F/2012F PBV) for its expertise in the high‐yield lending segment and attractive ROE.

source: Equity daily Kim Eng dated 9 September 2011

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