Friday, March 30, 2012
Wijaya Karya TP Rp980
Applause for results breakthrough
Robust showing. Wijaya Karya (WIKA) reported a 24% YoY increase in FY11 net profit to Rp354b on the back of a 29% YoY growth in revenue and robust 4Q11 results. While the top line was in line with our forecast, the bottom line beat our estimate by 7% and the consensus by
8%. Operating profit grew by 37% YoY to Rp654b, 15% above our estimate, due to higher-than-expected income from joint operation (JO).
Bottom line surged 88%QoQ. On a quarterly basis, net profit jumped 88% QoQ to Rp139b from Rp74b in 3Q11. Margins were up by 3-4ppts QoQ, thanks to 8% growth in revenue and just a 1ppt increase in COGS. The recovery of other income, from negative Rp44b to almost positive value, also supported the bottom line.
Higher contribution from ME projects. WIKA booked a new mechanical electrical (ME) project valued at Rp1.5t in FY11, surged by 381% YoY from previous year’s value of Rp312b. The distribution of ME projects to total order book also rose by 12ppts YoY in FY11. We expect a slower distribution growth of ME projects in the next two years, as the company turns its focus to vie for property projects that have seen a rise in number, thereby boosting its realty distribution to total order book.
Margins maintained. WIKA successfully kept its FY11 operating and net margins at the same level as last year’s – 8% and 5%, respectively. Nevertheless, we expect net margin to slip by 1ppt to 4% this year on account of higher-than-expected costs. In the past decade or so, Indonesian construction companies have found it difficult to raise their margins, typically booking a single-digit figure.
Limited upside, downgrade to HOLD. We adjust our assumptions and raise our FY12F-13F earnings by 5-9% to factor in the better-thanexpected FY11 results. Our TP thus goes up to Rp980 (from Rp820 previously), pegged at FY12F PER of 14.1x and EV/EBITDA of 5.6x. The new TP suggests an only 7.7% upside from the current level, thus we downgrade our call to HOLD on the counter.
Source: KIMENG dated 30 March 2012
Robust showing. Wijaya Karya (WIKA) reported a 24% YoY increase in FY11 net profit to Rp354b on the back of a 29% YoY growth in revenue and robust 4Q11 results. While the top line was in line with our forecast, the bottom line beat our estimate by 7% and the consensus by
8%. Operating profit grew by 37% YoY to Rp654b, 15% above our estimate, due to higher-than-expected income from joint operation (JO).
Bottom line surged 88%QoQ. On a quarterly basis, net profit jumped 88% QoQ to Rp139b from Rp74b in 3Q11. Margins were up by 3-4ppts QoQ, thanks to 8% growth in revenue and just a 1ppt increase in COGS. The recovery of other income, from negative Rp44b to almost positive value, also supported the bottom line.
Higher contribution from ME projects. WIKA booked a new mechanical electrical (ME) project valued at Rp1.5t in FY11, surged by 381% YoY from previous year’s value of Rp312b. The distribution of ME projects to total order book also rose by 12ppts YoY in FY11. We expect a slower distribution growth of ME projects in the next two years, as the company turns its focus to vie for property projects that have seen a rise in number, thereby boosting its realty distribution to total order book.
Margins maintained. WIKA successfully kept its FY11 operating and net margins at the same level as last year’s – 8% and 5%, respectively. Nevertheless, we expect net margin to slip by 1ppt to 4% this year on account of higher-than-expected costs. In the past decade or so, Indonesian construction companies have found it difficult to raise their margins, typically booking a single-digit figure.
Limited upside, downgrade to HOLD. We adjust our assumptions and raise our FY12F-13F earnings by 5-9% to factor in the better-thanexpected FY11 results. Our TP thus goes up to Rp980 (from Rp820 previously), pegged at FY12F PER of 14.1x and EV/EBITDA of 5.6x. The new TP suggests an only 7.7% upside from the current level, thus we downgrade our call to HOLD on the counter.
Source: KIMENG dated 30 March 2012
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