Tuesday, April 10, 2012

Harum Energy (HRUM.IJ, HOLD) - TP Rp7,700/share

Concern over limited reserves

We employ a DCF valuation based on life of mines, assuming that the company can economically mine its measured resources on top of existing reserves, to derive our TP of Rp8,750/share, at which the stock would be trading at a 2012F PER of 14.8x. As a sanity check, assigning a US$20/tonne value for its existing reserves or around 60% of its current cash margin spread yields a fair value of Rp7,700/share. As such, we downgrade our recommendation to HOLD.

source: KIMENG dated 10 April 2012

No comments:

Post a Comment