Monday, June 11, 2018

BUMI TP 495 (BUY)


Herewith we enclosed BUMI report for your investment consideration

Targeting 9% production growth a year

As of 1Q18, BUMI posted significant revenue growth of 2914%  to USD. 310.5 mn in 1Q18

Bottom line grew by 2.4% yoy to USD. 90,16 mn in 1Q18 based on accounting for joint venture agreements.

In full consolidation, BUMI’s revenue grew 11%yoy while the bottom line grew18% yoy.

We estimate CAGR revenue growth of BUMI during 2018-2019 will be 10% yoy fully consolidated with combined production estimated to average CAGR growth of 9% to reach 90.4mn tons and 99.4 mn tons in 2018F and 2019F compared to 2% CAGR growth in 2015-2017A

Increase in Equity
Since BUMI’s debt restructuring process started last year, BUMI has reduced its debt from USD 4.4bn in 2016FY to USD. 1.6bn in 2017FY.

BUMI’s equity started to improve with total capacity deficiency attributable to owners decreasing from 2016A to 2017A.

We are targeting DER to reduce to average 1.35x  within 2018-2019 with debt payments of USD 200-400mn USD per annum.

Valuation: significant upside
We are targeting TP within one year of IDR. 495 which would equal 5x PER compared to currently 2x PER which is still undervalued.


For full report please click on link below
http://www.binaartha.com/bumi.html