Friday, October 7, 2011
Nickel Sector (OVERWEIGHT) – Anticipating higher surplus
We are lowering our nickel price estimates for 2011 and 2012, following a sharp correction in the LME. With the global economy expecting to post weaker growth in 2012, and new, large nickel projects coming online next year, we expect the nickel price to remain depressed until 2013 and to rebound only in 2014 when the ban on ore exports becomes effective. We expect nickel price to rebound sharply in 2014 following the ban on ore exports from Indonesia, which would cut nickel ore supplies to China’s pig iron producers by half.
Action and Recomendation:
Antam (ANTM.IJ) BUY TP Rp1,700 PER9.7x
Inco (INCO.IJ) BUY TP Rp3,950 PER13.1x
source: KIM ENG dated 6 October 2011
Action and Recomendation:
Antam (ANTM.IJ) BUY TP Rp1,700 PER9.7x
Inco (INCO.IJ) BUY TP Rp3,950 PER13.1x
source: KIM ENG dated 6 October 2011
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