Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Indika Energy (INDY IJ) - TP Rp.3,450

Stock: Indika Energy (INDY IJ)
Rec, TP: BUY, Rp3,450
Mkt Cap, ADTO: US$1.4b, US$1.8mEvent: Press release for Kideco – FY11 NPAT matches our numbers

Comments from resources analyst Jayden below:

· Kideco is 46% owned by Indika and contributes 70% to group 11CL and 12CL earnings.
· Kideco’s Revenue of US$2.3b is in line with our US$2.26b and NPAT US$456m slightly ahead of our US$451m for FY11.
· 99% of the NPAT was paid out to Kideco’s shareholders as a dividend. Indika uses the proceeds to fund expansion capex at its other divisions (Petrosea, MBSS) and dividends to Indika shareholders (normally ~50% of group earnings).
· Full results are not disclosed for Kideco and Indika associate accounts for its 46% share of NPAT. Unfortunately it is not possible to determine whether the result is in line with consensus estimates.
· This announcement together with the strong reported result for Petrosea 2 weeks ago indicates Indika’s result should be strong when released next week. We also met with MBSS management recently who indicated the result will be in line with our estimate.
· Indika trades on 7x our forward 12CL core earnings.

Link to Indika press release: http://www.indikaenergy.co.id/press_images/kideco.pdf

source: CLSA

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