Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Indofood CBP (ICBP.IJ, BUY) - Profits to rise on lower input costs

Indofood CBP (ICBP.IJ, BUY) - Profits to rise on lower input costs

Indofood CBP recorded a FY11 net profit of Rp1,975b, up 16% YoY, on the back of 8% YoY revenue growth. The net profit is in line with our expectations. However, up to the operating profit line, results were below our expectations, as revenue grew at a slower pace vs. cost of goods sold. This year, we expect raw material costs to continue softening, and hence profit margins to improve in FY12.
The company has a high growth potential from expansion. The most immediate expansion will be in the dairy products segment with 50% additional capacity for liquid milk to kick in starting 2Q12, and a 30% capacity increase for sweetened condensed milk in 3Q12. With its strong balance sheet (the company is in a net cash position), Indofood CBP has the capacity to finance expansions (and acquisitions). Indofood CBP valuation still warrants a BUY. TP is Rp6,100, pegging the stock at 15.5x 2012F PER.

source: KIMENG dated 21 March 2012

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